National Weather Service Newport / Morehead City office and the Hyde
County Emergency Services Department are currently monitoring an area
of disturbed weather situated a few hundred miles southeast of the
North Carolina Coast.
and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined but still weak low
pressure system located a few hundred miles southeast of the North
Carolina coast are gradually becoming better organized, although
surface pressures in the area remain high.
conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next
couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward and stalls or
meanders near the coast of North Carolina over the weekend. Residents
and visitors along the North Carolina and South Carolina coasts should
monitor the progress of this system during the next several days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: high at 70
- Formation chance through 5 days: high at 80
low pressure system is expected to continue on a west-northwest or
northwest bearing for the next couple of days and is likely to become a
tropical depression within that timeframe. Competing high pressures
will cause the system to slow down and either stall or meander off the
coast of North Carolina beginning on Sunday. It should be noted there
is a slight chance the system could be steered onshore if the landward
high pressure is stronger than its competitor.
cold front approaching from north to south should inhibit further
intensification of the system by producing vertical wind shear and
colder/drier air north of the front could become entrained in the
circulation. Regardless, the front will weaken over North Carolina and
the high pressure that builds behind the front is anticipated to weaken
as well. Therefore, a pattern of weak steering currents will remain
until next week, when a new trough develops around the Great Lakes and
moves to the east. The storm could resume intensification in the
absence of the cold front and should remain just off the coast until
the previously mentioned trough develops and steers it out to sea.
- Hazardous Marine Conditions (i.e. Small Craft
- Heightened Surf Conditions
- Rip Currents
- Beach Erosion
- Ocean Overwash
- Periods of Heavy Rain
- Gusty Winds
Citizens should monitor their local weather stations, the
NWS WFOs, and the National Hurricane Center for timely information on this
For more info, visit www.weather.gov/mhx for weather
forecast information, or the National Weather Service office in Newport /
Morehead City’s Facebook page, https://www.facebook.com/NWSMoreheadCity/.