National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on an area of disturbed
weather northeast of the Bahamas, but so far local forecasters in the
National Weather Service office in Newport/Morehead City are predicting
only a chance of showers or thunderstorms later in the holiday weekend
for the Outer Banks.
In a statement this morning, the Hurricane Center said an area of
showers and thunderstorms in the western Atlantic is associated with
the interaction of an upper-level trough and a weakening front.
"While development is not anticipated for the next couple of days," the
Hurricane Center said, "environmental conditions are expected to become
more conducive for tropical or subtropical development on Friday."
The area of disturbed weather is forecast to move gradually
west-northwest or northwest toward the southeast United States coast
over the weekend, and the Hurricane Center is giving it a 50 percent
chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical system over the
next five days.
However, meteorologists at the local National Weather Service office
are forecasting that the weak surface low will remain south of eastern
North Carolina through the weekend.
"The main result for area will be increasing subtropical moisture with
deepening southeast-south flow with threat of at least scattered
coverage of showers/thunderstorms through period," according to the
Right now, they are putting the chance for scattered showers at a 40
percent chance Saturday and Sunday and a 50 percent chance on Memorial
Day. Temperatures each day will be around 80.
The marine forecast for later in the weekend is calling for a
persistent south-southeast wind at about 10 knots and seas building to
4 to 5 feet.
For more information on local forecasts and boating conditions, got to
the National Weather Service at Newport/Morehead City website at http://www.weather.gov/mhx/.